9:02 p.m. | Updated
An
$8 billion exchange merger is in the works that underscores how the
global market for derivatives has eclipsed that for stocks.
The owner of the venerable New York Stock Exchange
is in talks to be acquired by an upstart commodities and derivatives
trading platform, according to people briefed on the matter. The IntercontinentalExchange
is expected to offer about $33 a share, with two-thirds of that in
stock, one of these people said. That represents a premium of 37 percent
to NYSE Euronext’s closing stock price on Wednesday.
A deal could be announced as soon as Thursday morning, though these people cautioned that talks may still break down.
While
the New York Stock Exchange, with its opening bell and floor traders,
has been the public image of a stock market for two centuries, it is
NYSE Euronext’s businesses in the over-the-counter trading of
derivatives — including the Liffe market in London — that appear to be
the main attraction in the merger talks.
IntercontinentalExchange, or ICE, was founded in 2000 and is based in Atlanta. It competes fiercely with the CME Group, a derivatives trading powerhouse that owns the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and the Chicago Board of Trade.
More than a year ago, ICE teamed up with the New York exchange’s chief rival, the Nasdaq OMX Group,
to make a hostile bid for NYSE Euronext. The two had sought to break up
their older competitor’s plan to merge with Deutsche Börse of Europe,
which would have created a powerful trans-Atlantic company with a big
market share in the trading of stocks and derivatives.
Under the
terms of that deal, valued at about $11 billion, Nasdaq would have taken
NYSE Euronext’s equities business, while ICE would have assumed the
derivatives operations.
But the Justice Department threatened to
block that joint offer, on the ground that combining NYSE Euronext and
Nasdaq would create an overwhelming monopoly in the world of stock
trading.
The planned merger of NYSE Euronext and Deutsche Börse
itself fell apart early this year after European antitrust regulators
opposed the combination, on the ground that it would corner too much of
the market in exchange-traded derivatives.
But the newest merger
might pose fewer problems because ICE focuses on commodities like oil,
natural gas and cotton, while NYSE Euronext plies mainly in stock and
stock options and derivatives.
And unlike several proposed
mergers, like that of the Singaporean and Australian stock exchanges,
which fell apart last year on nationalist concerns, this potential deal
would take place between two companies from the same country.
After its deal with Deutsche Börse collapsed, NYSE Euronext was left to
conduct some soul-searching. At the time, the company said that it would
most likely look to smaller acquisitions and cost-cutting.
The
trading of stocks has become a less attractive business. The New York
Stock Exchange is now responsible for only about 11 percent of all stock
trading, while NYSE Euronext’s electronic Arca platform accounts for
another 12 percent, according to industry data.
The average number
of American stocks traded each day has fallen every year since 2009,
and has continued to decline over the course of 2012, according to
statistics from Credit Suisse. The volume of trading in futures and options, where ICE is focused, has also fallen since last year, but less than in stocks.
A tie-up with ICE, however, would link NYSE Euronext to one of the
industry’s fastest-growing exchanges. ICE has some of the highest profit
margins in the business.
It might also reap some of the benefits
that have driven a decade-long spree of consolidation among exchanges.
Such companies have long sought to gain the greater scale and cost
savings that come from combining back-end operations and staff cuts.
Still, the potential merger would sharply expand ICE, which despite its
bigger market value is a smaller company. It has a little more than
1,000 employees, while NYSE Euronext has 3,077.
It isn’t clear
whether other exchanges would seek to break up the proposed transaction.
The CME Group is a candidate to express opposition. But the firm
appeared to have little appetite in bidding for NYSE Euronext last year,
and it may run into antitrust concerns.
Other potential spoilers, including the Hong Kong and Singaporean exchanges, could run into nationalist concerns.
Shares
of NYSE Euronext rose more than 21 percent in after-hours trading, to
$29.20, after The Wall Street Journal reported news of the talks.
Nathaniel Popper contributed reporting.
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